Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast.
Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for the national telecommunications industry.
Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies.
The Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the national telecommunications industry.
" The Asia Telecommunications Report is used for benchmarking industry views against BMI's independent forecasts; for market research and analysis of industry trends. It also provides competitive intelligence on leading companies. "
Chi-Wen Tsai, Managing Director, ROHDE & SCHWARZ Taiwan Ltd
Key Benefits of Report
-Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the national telecommunications market.
-Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
-Exploit Latest Competitive Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.
Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country's business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI's political and economic risk ratings.
BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; TV households ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers/100 inhabitants; Cable TV subscribers ('000s); Direct-to-Home Subscribers ('000s)
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.
The Sector At A Glance
Key Insights On The Telecomunications sector of Greece
Greece's mobile market continues to surprise on the upside. Even though we expected the new ownership at Q-Telecom would drive prepaid growth at both Cosmote and Vodafone, we had not foreseen that it would have such a significant impact on the market, nor that its new owner TIM Hellas would also reap the benefits. TIM was the best performer in Q3, taking the title from Vodafone in Q2 and Cosmote in Q1. Q-Telecom also posted a good quarter with 11.8% of net additions, increasing its share of the market by 0.1% to 7.6%. Despite mobile penetration of 117% in H106, the market expanded by a further 3.6% in Q3 to raise penetration to over 121%.
We have therefore been obliged - once again - to revise forecasts for the Greek mobile market upwards. We anticipate Q4 will perform at least as well as Q3 in the seasonally strong pre-Christmas period, boosted by the November launch of HSDPA services by both Vodafone and TIM Hellas. We now forecast penetration will near 126% by YE06. Looking forward, we anticipate the strong growth will continue into 2007 before the market begins to slow due to saturation and the operators' need to focus attention on increasing ARPU levels. Net additions will be tempered by the regular discounting of inactive prepaid users and renewed focus on migration to contract packages and 3G services. Much will depend on the future ownership of TIM Hellas/Q-Telecom, although there have been no further reports of the owners' plans to sell the two companies. Once their future is decided, we may need to revise growth predictions depending on whether they are merged or continue to be operated separately, how they are operated while the sale is under consideration and, most importantly, the identity of the new owner if the sale proceeds.
Greece has now moved to the top of BMI's regional telecoms business environment ranking, overtaking the Czech Republic although it, and Hungary, are only half a point behind Greece. Greece has long benefited from one of the most stable economies and political environments in the region, as well as early (compared with the rest of the region) liberalisation of the telecoms market in line with EU requirements. Strong mobile growth continues despite the high penetration rate, and internet and broadband usage are low, giving plenty of growth opportunities.