Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast.
Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for the national telecommunications industry.
Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies.
The Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the national telecommunications industry.
" The Asia Telecommunications Report is used for benchmarking industry views against BMI's independent forecasts; for market research and analysis of industry trends. It also provides competitive intelligence on leading companies. "
Chi-Wen Tsai, Managing Director, ROHDE & SCHWARZ Taiwan Ltd
Key Benefits of Report
-Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the national telecommunications market.
-Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
-Exploit Latest Competitive Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.
Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.
Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country's business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI's political and economic risk ratings.
BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; TV households ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers/100 inhabitants; Cable TV subscribers ('000s); Direct-to-Home Subscribers ('000s)
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.
The Sector At A Glance
Key Insights On The Telecomunications sector of Hungary
BMI has made two main changes to the growth forecasts of the Hungarian telecoms market. The first relates to the country's mobile market. Based on regulatory figures released in November 2006, BMI has revised its end of year estimates for the size of Hungary's mobile sector at the end of 2006. In addition to estimating a year-end total of 9.988mn mobile subscribers, representing 99.2% of the population, we have made alterations to our five-year growth forecast. The second changes comes in the internet market, which we have revised on the basis of new market data separating the number of retail DSL connections from wholesale. Accordingly, we have revised both our broadband forecast and our forecast for Hungary's internet market as a whole.
The Hungarian telecoms market has long been considered one of the most competitive and well-regulated in the Central and East European (CEE) region. As a result of early and sustained efforts to restructure the sector from the early 1990s, Hungary's telecoms market has often been upheld as an example for others in the region to follow. Moves to privatise the former state-owned incumbent telco Matáv (now Magyar Telekom) occurred early in the 1990s, with full privatisation completed in 1999. The presence of Deutsche Telekom as a strategic investor in Magyar Telekom since 1993 is matched elsewhere in the sector by the operation of other major strategic investors - including Denmark's TDC (in the alternative fixed-line sector), and Norway's Telenor and Vodafone of the UK in the country's mobile sector.
While the market for traditional fixed-line services continues to decline in the wake of mobile substitution, there are signs that this slow steady decline will tail off, as fixed-line operators introduce new values added service offerings such as IPTV and other IP services for businesses and consumers. The fixed-line sector is also preparing itself for further consolidation in H107, following the announcement that alternative carrier Invitel will be bought by TDC-owned Hungarian Telephone and Cable Corp. (HTCC). This move will not only expand HTCC's position in the fixed-line and internet markets, but will create a new source of strengthened competition for the incumbent.
Another positive sign for the fixed-line sector is the slow subscriber growth currently affecting the Hungarian mobile market. This trend, which is indicative of an increasingly saturated mobile market, bodes well for fixed-line operators, which have felt the impact of mobile substitution in recent years. Meanwhile, as mobile growth levels off, the country's operators are intensifying their efforts to complete the rollout of next generation network technologies, as well as promoting 3G services and boosting the ratio of contract subscribers to prepaid customers.
Elsewhere in the internet sector, the steady growth of broadband internet is likely to be assisted by the introduction of new rules on local loop unbundling (LLU), and a new pricing system for wholesale ADSL operators. However, growth may well be slowed down by the country's current economic difficulties, which are expected to continue being felt by households and small businesses, at least in the short to medium term. It is partly due to the country's current economic burdens, and partly due to a reduced growth potential score, that Hungary has moved down BMI's Business Environment Rankings for the CEE region to third place.