The Lithuania Telecommunications Report 2008
 
Report

The Lithuania Telecommunications Report 2008This Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes . . .

From:
$875
 
Independent 5-year telecommunications forecast.

Original telecommunications market research and telecommunications sector trend analysis for the national telecommunications industry.

Competitive intelligence, regional telecommunications company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic telecommunications companies.

The Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the national telecommunications industry.

" The Asia Telecommunications Report is used for benchmarking industry views against BMI's independent forecasts; for market research and analysis of industry trends. It also provides competitive intelligence on leading companies. "
Chi-Wen Tsai, Managing Director, ROHDE & SCHWARZ Taiwan Ltd

Key Benefits of Report

-Benchmark BMI's Independent 5-Year Telecommunications Industry Forecast to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the national telecommunications market.
-Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Telecommunications Sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments.
-Exploit Latest Competitive Telecommunications Intelligence & company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

Executive Summary
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and trend analysis, covering ICT, fixed-line, mobile and internet markets, and headline news of key industry events from the latest quarter.

Market Overview
At-a-glance outlook of the structure, size and value of the industry, including an overview of key players and a snapshot of regional penetration rates for fixed-line, mobile and internet markets.

Business Environment Rankings
BMI provides a cross-border analysis of telecoms regulatory systems across regional markets, and their investor prospects, discussing the merits and downfalls of each country's business environment, and ranking them in order of competitiveness. The rankings take into account industry factors, such as Market Maturity, Growth Potential, Competitive Environment and Licensing Framework in addition to BMI's political and economic risk ratings.

BMI 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2012 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone Lines ('000); Telephone Lines/100 Inhabitants;
Cellular Telephony - Phone Subscribers ('000); Mobile Phone Subscribers/ 100 Inhabitants; Mobile Phone Subscribers/100 Fixed Line Subscribers;
Internet Markets - Internet Users ('000); Internet Users/100 Inhabitants; Broadband Internet Subscribers ('000); Broadband Internet Subscribers/100 Inhabitants;
Multimedia Markets - PCs ('000); PCs/100 Inhabitants; TV households ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers ('000s); Pay-TV subscribers/100 inhabitants; Cable TV subscribers ('000s); Direct-to-Home Subscribers ('000s)
BMI 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Commentary on key operators highlighting ownership structures, latest available revenue figures, market share analysis and ARPU counts.

Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analyses, fully researched senior executives and contact details, business activity, leading products and services, and a record of all recent foreign direct investments and projects.

The Sector At A Glance

Key Insights On The Telecomunications sector of Lithuania

BMI has made upward revisions to forecasts for broadband growth in Lithuania, while forecasts for the fixed-line market have been lowered. Although the number of active mobile users declined marginally (0.1%) in Q206, the market picked up again in Q3. We are therefore holding fast to the revised forecasts made in our Q3 report, when we made comprehensive revisions to count only active subscribers in our analysis of the mobile market. Despite this, mobile penetration is set to rise to 135% by YE06, the highest in the region.

All sectors of the broadband market are showing growth, which is particularly strong in the DSL market. This market is dominated by incumbent operator TEO, which has come under fire from the Competition Council for abuse of its dominant position. TEO must now offer wholesale services to alternative operators under the same terms it provides services to itself, which BMI believes will lead to greater competition in the market as operators lower prices in the battle for subscribers, particularly in the strong pre-Christmas period. TEO itself recorded strong growth in its ADSL customer base, fuelled by the August launch of VoIP services offering free calls between its broadband users. We anticipate the October introduction of IPTV services will provide a further boost to its broadband subscriber base, and have raised forecasts for the market upwards. We now expect broadband penetration will rise to 12% by YE06, increasing to nearly 25% by 2010.

In contrast, the fixed-line market is declining more swiftly than anticipated, and we now expect penetration will dip below 23% by YE06. TEO continues to record falling subscriber numbers, and in Q306 the first signs of slowdown in the number of subscribers to its call packages was recorded. These losses are not being offset by gains at triple play operators, which in BMI's opinion is due to the highly fragmented nature of the cable TV market. Nearly 50 operators provide services to less than 340,000 subscribers, with only 25% of Lithuanian households taking pay-TV services. There is a significant market potential, but we believe TEO will be better placed to take advantage with its new IPTV and digital TV services, rather than the small, privately-owned cable operators.

Report Details:
Publisher:
Business Monitor
Type:
Journal - 4 issues p.a.
 
 
 
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