IP TV Global Forecast ? 2005 to 2009: September 2005 is an update to MRG?s IP TV Global Forecast ? 2004 to 2008, dated February 2005. It incorporates the most recent information on IP TV deployments including:


- The current status of plans by SBC and BellSouth to deploy large IP TV networks in the U.S.
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The rollout of Verizon?s video offering that will use IP TV technology for Video On Demand (VOD) services to supplement its RF based broadband video service over its Fiber to the Premise (FTTP) access network.
? The introduction of VOD IP TV services by China Telecom.
? The introduction of VOD services by Atlas Interactive in India.
? The broad deployment of IP TV services in many countries in Europe.
? The continued growth of subscribers by the major established IP TV service providers, such as, Free in France, PCCW in Hong Kong, and Fastweb in Italy.
? A number of new deployments including Belgacom, Softbank BB, KPN, and Telekom Austria are reflected in the forecast.


We are forecasting that the number of DSL subscribers will grow from 97 million on 2005 to 221 million in 2009, a compound annual growth rate of 22 percent. These DSL subscribers are the base for the IP TV subscribers shown in Figure 0-1.

Figure 0-1 shows that the number of global IP TV subscribers will grow from 3.7 million in 2005 to 36.9 million in 2009, a compound annual growth rate of 78 percent.


Europe is leading the market. The forecast for North America has decreased due to schedule slips and is now behind Asia. Schedules for SBC and BellSouth have slipped because they are waiting for MPEG-4 set-top boxes and Microsoft?s middleware as well the difficulty of integrating IP TV with back office systems.